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RE:President Trump
... when looking at activity on betting sites like Polymarket. For the record, one... like insider trading, even forced Polymarket to call in Palantir to ... to Barron Trump's ties to Polymarket, where he reportedly sits on ...
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forums.bluemoon-mcfc.co.uk |
dickie davies |
Mar 26, 2026 |
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RE:Wisconsin voters warned their bets could get their ballots thrown out under obscure law
... a Washington Post analysis of Polymarket data. “I know it’s all... and find John Q. Citizen betting $50 on an election, and...
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www.lipstickalley.com |
Freja |
Mar 26, 2026 |
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RE:trump and insiders make millions off trades when trump announces
... surge of more than 150 Polymarket accounts placed hundreds of bets... more than $400,000 by betting on the capture of Venezuela's...
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247sports.com |
MICO86 |
Mar 26, 2026 |
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RE:Obama Did It Better
... surge of more than 150 Polymarket accounts placed hundreds of bets... more than $400,000 by betting on the capture of Venezuela's...
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247sports.com |
MICO86 |
Mar 26, 2026 |
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RE:Iranians Blowing Piece Of Crap F-35's Out Of The Sky
... surge of more than 150 Polymarket accounts placed hundreds of bets... more than $400,000 by betting on the capture of Venezuela's...
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247sports.com |
MICO86 |
Mar 26, 2026 |
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RE:INTERNATIONAL Politics: Adelaide Board Discussion Part 6
... it's almost beautiful. Over on Polymarket, 10 brand new accounts, all... trading history, dropped $160,000 betting on an Iran ceasefire by ... bunch of crypto nerds on Polymarket. Thank God we've got a ...
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www.bigfooty.com |
jenny61_99 |
Mar 25, 2026 |
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RE:Nasdaq Futures
... market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket, are tightening rules. A senior... made $1 million in war betting since 2024 — even as prediction...
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www.investing.com |
Jail Trump |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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RE:Blatant Market Manipulation
... of new online accounts on Polymarket platform betting a total of $70,000...
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www.religiousforums.com |
The Hammer |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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RE:Who will be the first coach to be sacked in 2026?
Geelong_Bisons_#36 said: Do any of the betting agencies have a market for this? Polymarket?
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www.bigfooty.com |
Corn Cobbers |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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RE:Trump Begs Other Nations For Help Now. He Hears Crickets.
... it's almost beautiful. Over on Polymarket, 10 brand new accounts, all... trading history, dropped $160,000 betting on an Iran ceasefire by ... bunch of crypto nerds on Polymarket. Thank God we've got a ...
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www.religiousforums.com |
Altfish |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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Re: Politics/Government/Presidents oh my!
... significant, suspicious, and highly profitable betting activity on prediction markets regarding... on the prediction market platform Polymarket made millions of dollars by...,000 in early 2026 by betting on the death of Iran's...
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www.tripadvisor.com |
Dave 🇺🇦 🇫🇷 |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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I'm going to rant on this one a bit as I have a definite interest in the outcome
... didn't necessarily exist. Further, since polymarket has been growing the sports... to take sports betting out of the hands of polymarket. I have a...
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www.hsx.com |
<a style="color:black" href="/profile/milligan">milligan</a> |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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Donald Trump Jr. is heavily involved in the rapidly expanding online prediction market industry,
acting as an advisor to both Polymarket and Kalshi, and investing in Polymarket through his own firm. These prediction platforms allow users to bet on political and economic developments. Don Sr.'s Truth Social is also launching a betting platform called Truth Predict. The Trump grift continues unabated.
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www.democraticunderground.com |
sop |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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RE:Iran
... of new online accounts on Polymarket platform betting a total of $70,000...
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www.urban75.net |
teqniq |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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RE:Trump postpones Iran strikes, announces very good 'talks'
.... Do you know Polymarket? It’s a very popular online betting site. Trump...
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nzissues.com |
Reginald |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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RE:Donald Trump Appreciation Thread
... it's almost beautiful. Over on Polymarket, 10 brand new accounts, all... trading history, dropped $160,000 betting on an Iran ceasefire by ... bunch of crypto nerds on Polymarket. Thank God we've got a ...
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www.saintsweb.co.uk |
egg |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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Re: In short, this is about market manipulation and it is mostly about insider tradi
... huge amount of money on Polymarket about United States to invade... blocked. This truly shows how Polymarket is not decentralized but this .... I have no idea what Polymarket (the management team) wants, as... (They got their commission from betting on events in Iran, didn't...
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bitcointalk.org |
m2017 |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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RE:Q Research General #29775: FREEDOM 250 Give Me Liberty, Or Give Me Death Edition
... atsuspiciousbets before a Trump decision. Betting app Kalshi has refused to... deadline was reached. Meanwhile on Polymarket, 150accounts bet more than a... in January, a Polymarket user made about $570,000 betting that Venezuelan President Nicolas...
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8kun.top |
Anonymous |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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RE:Trump’s proposed Iran power plant attacks put on hold
... New online accounts on Polymarket platform betting a total of $70,...trading platform called Starchild. Polymarket accounts are anonymous, and ...Online prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi are rapidly ...Discord channels devoted to Polymarket, users and automated bots on ...this particular bet on Polymarket, as it requires both the... against one another.” Polymarket has been approached for comment.
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imdb1.freeforums.net |
Fetzer Zinfandel, ♀︎ Patriot |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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Senators introduce bipartisan bill to ban sports betting on prediction markets
... prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket from accepting or listing transactions... the rise of sports betting on services like Polymarket and Kalshi. While traditional...
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www.democraticunderground.com |
BumRushDaShow |
Mar 23, 2026 |
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Re: US, Israel launch massive attack on Iran that kills supreme leader
... of money on 'prediction' market Polymarket: Polymarket faces allegations of insider trading... 24 Quote: The online betting company Polymarket is facing scrutiny over allegations... is also a shareholder in Polymarket, and may be involved. The...
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www.stormfront.org |
PalePatriot |
Mar 23, 2026 |
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Re: Why Is Trump So Pro-Prediction Markets While Everyone Else Is Banning Them?
.... is literally an adviser of Polymarket. And yeah there's conflict of... even technically make millions by betting on policies and actions that...
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bitcointalk.org |
o48o |
Mar 23, 2026 |
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Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread
..., 08:34:27 PM Yes, betting on Bayern is broken. You.... Ironically, I did the opposite, betting on them flopping and the...? Generally yes, but not in Polymarket terms. There's no X1 or ...
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bitcointalk.org |
KTChampions |
Mar 23, 2026 |
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Exclusive: Trader made nearly $1 million on Polymarket with remarkably accurate Iran bets
submitted by /u/Unusual-State1827 to r/technology [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
Unusual-State1827 |
Mar 24, 2026 |
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‘Bone-Chilling’: Gamblers ‘Vowing to Kill’ Journalist Unless He Changes Iran War Report to Help Them Win Polymarket Bet — “After you make us lose $900,000, we will invest no less than that to finish you.”
submitted by /u/EssoEssex to r/technology [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
EssoEssex |
Mar 16, 2026 |
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Polymarket bettors threatened to kill a journalist over a $14M war bet.
On March 10, 2026, Times of Israel correspondent Emanuel Fabian reported that a single Iranian ballistic missile struck an open area near Beit Shemesh. No injuries. Routine war update. Until it became the center of a $14M+ market on whether "Iran strikes Israel" that day. Polymarket's rules are specific: intercepted missiles don't count as a "Yes." Bettors who went heavy on "No" needed his story changed from "missile hit" to "intercepted fragments." They didn't ask nicely. It started with emails. Then Discord. Then, fabricated screenshots of a fake message from Fabian himself claiming IDF confirmed interception. Completely made up, circulated to manipulate resolution. Then at midnight, someone WhatsApp'd him with a countdown. "After you make us lose $900,000, we will invest no less than that to finish you." "86 minutes left. You are the only one responsible for your life." "There are people who don't care about the law, and you're going to make them lose 50x what you'll ever earn." Someone posed as a female lawyer named "Vered," called him, sounded like a young man, claimed a US company hired her to investigate his "market manipulation." https://preview.redd.it/081bykouzfpg1.png?width=1024&format=png&auto=webp&s=dd06ab3f88f7754e9d397faa06550d81fdb9f62d OC: https://x.com/Predictbook/status/2033590163041906931 submitted by /u/EmbarrassedStudent10 to r/CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
EmbarrassedStudent10 |
Mar 16, 2026 |
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Gamblers trying to win a bet on Polymarket are vowing to kill me if I don’t rewrite an Iran missile story
submitted by /u/Unusual-State1827 to r/technology [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
Unusual-State1827 |
Mar 16, 2026 |
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Gamblers trying to win a bet on Polymarket are vowing to kill me if I don't rewrite an Iran missile story
submitted by /u/ilikepix to r/neoliberal [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
ilikepix |
Mar 16, 2026 |
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Gamblers trying to win a bet on Polymarket are vowing to kill me if I don't rewrite an Iran missile story
submitted by /u/xland44 to r/anime_titties [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
xland44 |
Mar 16, 2026 |
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This guy turned $24 into $12,400 by betting on the weather
trader made $12,400 today by betting just $24 on the weather on Polymarket with 3,199 predictions he has 80% win rate and $65,790 pnl he found an inefficiency in these markets and has been printing consistently for 3 months the best part is that he started with just $800 Wallet: 0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11 Copytrade him here submitted by /u/Waste-Hat-966 to r/polymarket_bets [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
Waste-Hat-966 |
Mar 12, 2026 |
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Polymarket Pulls Bet on Nuclear Detonation in 2026
submitted by /u/F0urLeafCl0ver to r/nottheonion [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
F0urLeafCl0ver |
Mar 4, 2026 |
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Polymarket Bravely Defends Betting On World War 3 As A Valuable Public Service. Controversial Gambling Platform Acknowledges tragedy, But Someone Must Win Big
submitted by /u/wewhomustnotbenamed to r/nottheonion [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
wewhomustnotbenamed |
Mar 4, 2026 |
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The amount of money that can be made in live sports trading is insane
Context for my background, I do quantitative trading for a small firm mainly involving buying/selling options. Recently, started a personal project for arbitraging Polymarket vs Kalshi but found that it is even more profitable to just pick +EV bets (using a model) which are super apparent on these sites especially for the less popular sports. Here are my results: https://preview.redd.it/s9qlhbtxeqmg1.png?width=1034&format=png&auto=webp&s=37a36dbc89718e55b985e10c3af824049d70a21e I have been trading using 15% kelly, but the current bankroll uses a 30% kelly sizing simulation and is insanely profitable. Average ROI per bet is 6% which is ridiculous. This takes into account the Kalshi/Polymarket odds as well which is crazy. https://preview.redd.it/4zgsollweqmg1.png?width=510&format=png&auto=webp&s=1083653b3fbbc5a47f1bf5b9fde71ecc7d323199 TLDR: For anyone looking to make money on Kalshi/Polymarket -- look into live trading sports. Incredible experience so far for me over the last few months. submitted by /u/SkyblockShorts to r/polymarket_bets [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
SkyblockShorts |
Mar 3, 2026 |
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Polymarket saw $529M traded on bets tied to bombing of Iran
submitted by /u/Logical_Welder3467 to r/technology [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
Logical_Welder3467 |
Mar 1, 2026 |
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Polymarket Iran Bets Hit $529 Million as New Wallets Raise Insider Concerns
submitted by /u/bloomberg to r/CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
bloomberg |
Feb 28, 2026 |
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Polymarket defends its decision to allow betting on war as ‘invaluable’ / Everything is gambling now, even human suffering.
submitted by /u/MarvelsGrantMan136 to r/technology [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
MarvelsGrantMan136 |
Feb 28, 2026 |
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I tracked the trades of the most profitable Polymarket bots and put it all on one site
Been obsessing over Polymarket bot activity for a while now. You've probably seen the same stories I have — the bot that turned $313 into $414K, the weather bots printing $24K off NOAA forecasts, the AI trader that pulled $2.2M in two months. But every time I wanted to actually study what these bots were doing — when they entered, what prices they bought at, how they sized positions — I had to piece it together from Dune dashboards, on-chain explorers, and random Twitter threads. It was a mess. So I built a site: polybot-arena.com It tracks the moves of some of the most profitable bots on Polymarket. You can see their trades, compare strategies, and spot patterns across markets. No paywall, no token pitch. A few things I noticed while building it: The best-performing bots almost never bet big on single outcomes. They spread across hundreds of small positions. Timing matters more than direction. The top bots consistently enter within seconds of price dislocations, not before them. Most "whale" accounts that look like genius traders are actually bots running simple logic very fast. Still adding features. If there's specific data you'd want to see — like filtering by market type, or comparing bot-v-bot performance — I'm all ears. Would love feedback from anyone here who's been tracking bots too. https://preview.redd.it/n7vdm4k9ymlg1.png?width=1778&format=png&auto=webp&s=a461213272610aeb525124e460f5ede99866fe82 https://preview.redd.it/1trlrj9aymlg1.png?width=2454&format=png&auto=webp&s=4b4523b3006ad6442bd69c66112f007029838023 submitted by /u/fytaso_ken to r/polymarketAnalysis [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
fytaso_ken |
Feb 25, 2026 |
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How are US citizens betting on Polymarket?
I keep hearing celebrities and people talking about betting on polymarket. When I tried to sign up it said betting is ILLEGAL and NOT ALLOWED. How are all these people doing it? EDIT: I coudn't get an answer here. The answer I was looking for is to use the app Kalshi, instead of Polymarket. Kalshi is how Americans are doing predicting trading/betting, not Polymarket. Also, ask these types of questions to ChatGPT because reddit is not useful for crowd source questions anymore. submitted by /u/partoe5 to r/NoStupidQuestions [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
partoe5 |
Feb 25, 2026 |
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$111 → $4.3M in 7 Months on Polymarket (44,994 Bets) trading European football.
https://preview.redd.it/5545i0nxcelg1.png?width=1235&format=png&auto=webp&s=8f9a8e81b5ef9eeb6860e2169e90712de0c0d33a I checked the wallet. Here are the numbers: Start: 111 Now: 4,308,411 Time: 7 months Bets placed: 44,994 Average per day: 213 Win rate: 68 percent He trades one niche: European football. La Liga Champions League Premier League Europa League Scroll the history. You see match markets over and over. Same structure, same approach. Example. Match: Athletic Club vs Real Madrid. Public buys YES on Madrid at 0.60. He buys NO at 0.40. If Madrid fails to win, 0.40 settles to 1. He repeats this daily. He does not chase long shots. He looks for inflated favorites and takes the other side when price makes sense. Largest trade I saw: Stake: 385,952 Return: 956,500 Over 200 bets per day for months. The size increases as the bankroll grows. The curve moves up step by step. You can go through the history and judge the risk yourself. submitted by /u/ArtNoLimit to r/PredictionsMarkets [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
ArtNoLimit |
Feb 24, 2026 |
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This guy is up over $870k betting on Polymarket. Here are his sports bets for today:
A lot of the most profitable bettors took St Johns at around +140 - +150, and the line has moved more towards a pick em. I've been tracking profitable sports bettors and copying their bets and have almost tripled my bankroll in less than 3 weeks. Here's the software I created that lets me do it: Delta Sports - The Sharp Money Tool for Sports submitted by /u/Atrain0lillard to r/sportsbetting [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
Atrain0lillard |
Feb 6, 2026 |
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Polymarket bets are increasing
submitted by /u/PositiveFun8654 to r/shitposting [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
PositiveFun8654 |
Feb 5, 2026 |
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Golden Globes Constantly Begs Viewers to Place Polymarket Bets
submitted by /u/FuturismDotCom to r/entertainment [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
FuturismDotCom |
Jan 12, 2026 |
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Polymarket Gambler Raises Eyebrows With $400,000 Win on Maduro Ouster… Just Days After Joining Betting Platform
Polymarket gambler raises eyebrows with $400,000 win on maduro ouster Saturday, January 3, 2026, 3:42 p.m. ET Sean James, Mediaite ⌜ open article link ⌟ A brand-new Polymarket account dropped real money on “Maduro out” right before the Venezuela operation, then cashed out for a $400,000-plus win hours after Trump announced Nicolás Maduro had been captured. People immediately started doing what the internet does best: squinting at the timing and yelling “inside job!” into the void. ⤷ what the article covers A Polymarket account began betting on Maduro being removed from power starting December 31, 2025, then kept adding to the position with multiple large buys. Total wager: $32,538.34. Reported redemption: $436,759.61, shortly after Trump’s announcement. The account’s other bets were also tied to U.S. action in Venezuela, which poured gasoline on the “how did you know?” suspicion. Social media reactions ranged from “war-related insider trading?” to jokes about who the mystery bettor might be. ⤷ why this matters Prediction markets don’t just “forecast” events. They can also become a pressure cooker for rumors, leaks, and information advantages, real or imagined. When the event is a military operation, the optics get radioactive fast: it stops looking like betting and starts looking like profiteering off state violence. ⤷ the big question: lucky, connected, or just early signals? Three possibilities can be true at once: Insider knowledge: someone knew something they shouldn’t have. Pattern recognition: the bettor saw signs (market chatter, troop movement buzz, journalist hints) and moved early. Pure degeneracy: sometimes a gambler hits the bullseye in the dark and then acts like they were born with night-vision. The controversy is the same either way: if this kind of trade is easy to do, it invites exactly the kind of “shadowy advantage” accusations that make the whole ecosystem smell rigged. ⤷ what other outlets are saying Someone made a ton of money betting on Maduro’s capture (The Verge) ⌜ open article link ⌟ Someone made a huge profit predicting Maduro's capture. Here's what happened (Axios) ⌜ open article link ⌟ FBI raids Polymarket founder’s home in criminal probe of election betting platform (ABC News) ⌜ open article link ⌟ NewsRewind⏎ submitted by /u/ItchyNesan to r/NewsRewind [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
ItchyNesan |
Jan 3, 2026 |
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A Polymarket trader made $360K by betting “no” on every flashy headline. Turns out most dramatic events… never happen. I have only one question: why didn't anyone think of this before? How many followers will he have now? And how will this affect the predicted results? Ok, it's three questions.
submitted by /u/Kay_Bellamy to r/MarketVibe [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
Kay_Bellamy |
Nov 23, 2025 |
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BREAKING: FBI seizes Polymarket CEO’s phone, electronics after betting platform predicts Trump win
FBI agents raided the Manhattan apartment of Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan early Wednesday morning — just a week after the election-betting platform successfully predicted Donald Trump’s stunning victory, The Post has learned. The 26-year-old entrepreneur was roused from bed in his Soho pad at 6 a.m. by US law enforcement who demanded he turn over his phone and other electronic devices, a source close to the matter told The Post. https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source/ submitted by /u/HighYieldLarry to r/FluentInFinance [link] [comments]
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reddit.com |
HighYieldLarry |
Nov 13, 2024 |