Kalshi

...。另一家平台Kalshi走的是合规...松动。 2024年底，Kalshi在一次关键...雪期间，光是Kalshi上的降雪量...算。 就在昨天，Kalshi 还宣布，对三...发表讲话前，Kalshi上线的鲍威...

Quote: Originally Posted by DukeTogo84 Almost for sure going to be Masters of the Universe. Although I wish it was Xtro. Kalshi has Masters of The Universe at 56% to 37% for Xtro. Behind that, The Hidden is at 5%. Weirdly enough, World Gone Wild, the Michael Pare/Adam Ant post-apocalyptic yarn, made the board at 2%.

Quote: Originally Posted by DukeTogo84 Almost for sure going to be Masters of the Universe. Although I wish it was Xtro. Kalshi has Masters of The Universe at 56% to 37% for Xtro. Behind that, The Hidden is at 5%. Weirdly enough, World Gone Wild, the Michael Pare/Adam Ant post-apocalyptic yarn, made the board at 2%.

Kalshi 가격 책정에 ... TO COIN FLIP BEFORE 2027 Kalshi pricing now shows only a...

...랫폼인 칼시(Kalshi)와 폴리마켓...

...喜現身。 根據Kalshi知名預測市...演。 與此同時，Kalshi的預測市場...

... TO COIN FLIP BEFORE 2027 KALSHI PRICING NOW SHOWS ONLY A...

...喜現身。 根據Kalshi知名預測市...演。 與此同時，Kalshi的預測市場...

Draftnut said... (original post) They're not called bets anymore...the new euphemism is predictive markets. Was he going the Kalshi/Polymarket path to betting?

... bitcoin and 'futures' trading on Kalshi/Polymarket as speculative get-rich-quick assets...

Anyone see the Kalshi bet if Jimmie's wife will be a widow within 12 months? Pretty hilarious, right Disney?

.... Don’t need a bookie now, Kalshi does the same. Damn CJ...

... boat load of Brooks on Kalshi when Keyla was singing. Some... point is a insider and Kalshi is claiming they're looking into ...

Should have bet on this through Kalshi.

Apr 28, 2026 13:36:03 GMT -8 bennyskid said: Expect a whole lot of these announcements. The kids know that the NFL itself is in bed with the bookies. Why would we expect them to stay away? It's only going to get worse with Kalshi and Polymarket. Now you can bet on anything!

When is Kalshi going to put the page up for his commitment, I want to hedge a KU pick. #CantLose #AlwaysWinning

allez donc perdre toutes vos PV sur ces putains de sites de paris addictifs Polymarket Asked To Work With Us. We Exposed Their Scam Instead. Prediction markets are scamming the working class.Polymarket and Kalshi claim they are "democratizing finance," but their business model enables a handful of...

Guy on Kalshi bet $25,554 that Caleb Williams won't win MVP. Pays out only $27,461.

... to win the title on Kalshi is a protest (it's just...

https://x.com/Kalshi/status/2049111866383950182?s=20

... linked as an advisor to Kalshi, another prediction market firm. "Truth...

In case anyone cares Kalshi is looking into American Idol/... 19c i forget i watched Kalshi and all of a sudden... home and made bank on Kalshi.   So the facts show American... it is insider trading and Kalshi is looking into it.

... it often goes. Stuff like Kalshi needs to be banned. It's...

Here are the betting odds in the governors race, both primary and general from Kalshi. Polymarket betting odds are similar. Kalshi Betting Odds GA Governor Primary I only snipped the top 4 Attached File Kalshi Betting Odds on GA Governor Democrat Primary I only snipped the top 3 Attached File Kalshi Betting Odds GA Governor Attached File

Leaving aside any discussion of prediction markets and the morality of those, do people make big money on Kalshi? submitted by /u/kenixfan2018 to r/NoStupidQuestions [link] [comments]

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They claim to refund users when their contract had ambiguities that created an issues but most users are getting only 50% or less. Beware of this dishonest platform. submitted by /u/PHA_Q_ to r/Kalshi [link] [comments]

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I’ve only lost money and often think to myself — this cant be that hard … what am I missing?? submitted by /u/Bubbly-Air7302 to r/Kalshi [link] [comments]

I do this full time, this is the entire key to winning. Study more than you gamble. It’s that simple. Think to yourself before betting the market “am I smarter than the crowd on this market to a level where I have an advantage over them?”. Anybody betting any sport that involves teams or a ball needs to understand they don’t have any real edge, you don’t have some super model based on decades of games… and the Sportsbook does. Find niche markets where you can be WAY smarter than the crowd, then study for 6 months without betting a dollar. I know it’s not fun, but this is is key to being successful in this game! Plenty of people are up… only to be down later on and try to win is back. I make consistent returns on multiple markets and don’t have any major down draws either, just consistent measurable positive EV bets over a long long time. submitted by /u/ishabowa to r/Kalshi [link] [comments]

Original article: https://ericmintzer.substack.com/p/giannis-kalshi-and-the-death-of-trust > In the week leading up to the NBA trade deadline, Shams reported Giannis Antetokounmpo wanted out of Milwaukee. ESPN promptly named the Miami Heat, New York Knicks, Minnesota Timberwolves, and Golden State Warriors as potential landing spots. Over the next several days, Giannis trade rumors took over the sports news cycle. Major outlets discussed it seriously, debated fits, and framed it as a real possibility. Yet, as the deadline passed, the two-time MVP remained with the Bucks. > Soon after, Giannis announced that he had taken a partial ownership stake in Kalshi, a prediction-market platform that allows users to bet on real-world outcomes. Kalshi hosts prediction markets on sports, politics, and pretty much anything, even the weather. In the weeks leading up to the deadline, roughly $23 million had been placed on Kalshi markets tied to where Giannis would end up. > The situation presents a clear conflict of interest. Giannis publicly allowed trade speculation to build, and millions of dollars flowed into markets, guessing where he might go. When the deadline passed, he stayed in Milwaukee and also held a partial ownership stake in the platform that hosted those bets. Even without proof of intent, the overlap is hard to ignore. Kalshi’s markets visibly shifted in response to news updates and reporting about Giannis throughout the process. > This concern is not theoretical. Over the past year, gambling scandals have erupted across major sports. In the NBA, Miami Heat guard Terry Rozier and Portland Trail Blazers head coach Chauncey Billups were arrested in an FBI investigation into illegal sports betting schemes involving organized crime. Yes, that Mafia. In college basketball, federal authorities have revealed widespread point-shaving and match-fixing investigations. The scandal involved 39 players and 17 teams. In Major League Baseball, Cleveland Guardians pitcher Emmanuel Clase was federally indicted on charges including wire fraud, bribery, and conspiracy for allegedly rigging pitches in as many as 48 games. > If we can’t trust the news, the markets, or the motives behind the stories we follow, then what are we actually watching? Sports only work if we believe they are real. Giannis did more than test that belief. He broke it. By tying trade speculation to ownership in a prediction market, he crossed a line that sports have treated as a cardinal sin for generations. It dealt a direct blow to fan trust and to the league’s claim of integrity. > Once fans start asking whether outcomes, stories, and speculation are part of the show, the illusion is already gone. Gambling did not blur the line between performance and reality by accident. It made the blur profitable. And once uncertainty itself becomes the product, trust is no longer the foundation of sports. It becomes the wager. submitted by /u/mastermind208 to r/nba [link] [comments]

submitted by /u/starcraft2020 to r/LivestreamFail [link] [comments]

People bet a total of $23M on whether/where Giannis would be traded at the deadline on Kalshi. Two days later, Giannis announced his stake in it. I am not sure whatever is happening is legal in this new NBA but it definitely shouldn’t be. This is just messed up, it should be a common sense that things like should be as far away as possible from this sport. submitted by /u/Doten1 to r/nba [link] [comments]

With the news of official investments by players normalizing the whole concept, I’m like 100% sure many, many games will be thrown and fouls will be given out that wouldn’t have happened naturally with every player trying their best What would be an insider sports betting scandal will be normalized just enough to convince the public there is legitimate competition happening with some star players actively altering their performance for profit This will slowly get worse and worse until the general public decides to stop watching, only then will major changes be implemented This is true for every other sports league as well There are enough players out there that would throw games for even an extra 10% in their yearly income in every sport out there. Even if most players are honest, in a team sport it only takes a couple of greedy players to influence a game This has always been the case, but it’s being normalized and you need to be aware of it as it happens submitted by /u/flexingonmyself to r/nba [link] [comments]

https://preview.redd.it/4ydw89v986gg1.png?width=725&format=png&auto=webp&s=2e1b50db2cd30771a8b708621bf9004437d0184a https://preview.redd.it/b4u8oknb86gg1.png?width=501&format=png&auto=webp&s=37cdf939f78b57f0eb62328d91a89f2fae6d38a2 What's up everybody! I saw you guys loved my last post where I displayed my growth since moving from FanDuel to Kalshi. Since then I've been doing even better. I truly believe that prediction markets will become so much bigger in 2026 just from what I've been experiencing. First off, in the last 4 days alone I was able to grow my portfolio 1,016%. I may be a little degenerate when it comes to this but I strongly believe I've figured out how to trade prediction markets properly. (or atleast found a "edge") To start, being early matters! The amount of times I will see a market start underpriced at say .50c and slowly creep up to .65c-.70c is ridiculous. Scalping these positions alone will leave your portfolio smiling. Next is sizing correctly and there is 2 ways I've been doing this. Generally on most plays I will size the same amount in every single market. (ex $200 per) However every once in awhile there will be a play that stands out. For example today there was a mention market for Trump to say "Stock Market". I viewed historical hit rates and saw he's said this 62% of the time, and given the stock market has hit ATH's again IT WAS OBVIOUS! The last thing is using limit orders. Limit orders is THE GOAT. Paying slippage genuinely pisses me off and this is something I wish I had learned sooner. I'll post some pictures of my recent plays above, drop what you guys have been playing below! submitted by /u/ResponsibleNeat5076 to r/Kalshi [link] [comments]

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Are there prediction markets that are more reliable? Live betting? Hedging losses? I'm all ears to how people can actually make money on this. submitted by /u/MattyLondonBridge to r/Kalshi [link] [comments]

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Kalshi is immoral and one of the easiest things to manipulate. From the ai ads, to this platform infesting everything. I don’t even know how this company got around regulations, but I know they need to be shut down. Betting on every day parts of life is insane, and even further deplorable than sports betting. submitted by /u/PolarPole to r/complaints [link] [comments]

Here are some tips, strategies, and frameworks to help you improve your trading on Kalshi and hopefully become more profitable (or at least get more bang for your buck). This is primarily written with new users in mind, but if you’re experienced, you might still find something helpful. 1 – Avoid Trading Sports Game Markets Sports markets have the highest volume and deepest liquidity on the platform. That makes them extremely efficient and very hard to beat over the long run. I’m not saying it’s impossible, but grinding out edges consistently requires serious sophistication or very specific angles. Side note: You should be highly suspicious of anyone claiming long-term sports profits based on “picking” teams based on special analysis or some model - especially if they’re selling picks or access to a private discord/group. Do not pay for these services. If you like throwing money on sports for fun, great. I do it myself with college football. Just separate “fun” from “profit” and don’t convince yourself you’re one of the chosen few who can beat sports long term. It is extremely difficult. 2 – Find a Market Category or Niche You Actually Enjoy Now that you’ve excluded sports game markets, your profit potential is SKYROCKETING. Next step: find a niche you genuinely enjoy. Why? Because you won’t be miserable doing the research required to follow markets and identify edges. For me, mention markets were a natural draw. I love nothing more than listening to Trump say “Biden” and “Tylenol” 28 times a day. If you hate what you’re trading, you will not stick with it. Pick a niche and stay focused. Grind out a proven long-term edge in one category before venturing elsewhere. Once you’ve proven profitability in one lane, transferring those skills to other market types becomes much easier. 3 – Use Limit Orders Taker: You buy at the currently offered price Maker: You place a limit order and set the price yourself If you’re new to Kalshi or prediction markets, there’s a good chance you’ve only ever been a taker. The default UI is designed around that. You’ll need to switch your interface settings to use limit orders. Why you should use resting orders: A. You get in at better prices B. You avoid trading fees C. You eliminate slippage But here’s the risk: Adverse Selection. Any time you have a resting order up, you’re giving the market the option to fill you when it’s good for them and bad for you. Example in mention markets: If you leave a resting NO order during a speech, you will only get filled after the word has already been said. If the word never gets mentioned, you won’t get filled at all. So: limit orders are great, but monitor them - and never leave them up during volatile events (like live speeches). 4 – Be Aware of Liquidity and Always Check the Order Book Even if you never plan on using limit orders, you should always look at the order book and understand the available liquidity. New users constantly torch money by market buying into an empty book and getting filled at awful prices - or doing the reverse and panic-selling into thin liquidity. This is exactly why I recommend using the limit order interface even when you intend to act as a taker. It forces you to specify the exact price you’re willing to pay (or accept), rather than blindly hitting the market and hoping the fill is reasonable. Using the limit UI gives you control and protects you from bad fills. 5 – Think Probabilistically and in Expected Value Price is king. All Kalshi markets are simple Yes/No, but your thinking should not be binary. Your job is to identify mispriced probabilities, not “pick winners.” Example: Market price = 50% Your fair value = 70% Your trade EV = (70% - 50%) / 50% = 40% expected return per dollar at that price. A few important points: A. EV only shows up over the long run. Even in the 70% example, you still lose 30% of the time. Position sizing matters because you need to avoid blowing up from variance. Winning a bunch of 95% trades doesn’t mean you made good trades - especially if the fair value was only 90%. B. Estimating fair value is the hardest part. You will almost never be able to compute an exact, clean fair value. Much of it is intuition, experience, and processing available information faster or better than the market. Still, form a ballpark fair value - it forces discipline. C. If you're consistently losing, it’s not variance. Refine your process. Your read of fair value or your strategy needs work. Thinking in EV terms is one of the most important frameworks for long-term profitability. 6 – Be Extremely Cautious and Humble Early On See a market that looks wildly mispriced? Nine times out of ten you are the one missing something. Read the contract rules. Check what others are discussing. Look for the information the current price is reflecting. You should understand both: Why the market is priced where it is Why you believe it’s still mispriced If you can’t answer both, your edge probably isn’t real. 7 – Read the Contract Rules This is mandatory. Not optional. You should read rules not just for standard cases, but for weird edge cases. Sometimes the edge is hidden in how the market resolves. People underestimate how often misunderstandings of edge-case resolution lead to massive mispricing. Closing Thoughts I didn’t dive into specific strategies here - the goal was to give new Kalshi traders a clear framework for how to think about these markets and avoid the most common mistakes. Hopefully you found this helpful. If not, leave a hate comment. submitted by /u/ShadowofStannis to r/Kalshi [link] [comments]

Kalshi is straight up ass. You are betting against insiders who already know/get the results prior to you. For example they set the expiration at 10am for all of those shutdown contracts. Meanwhile polymarket was 11:59pm/12am since ya know that’s actually when the day ends. Kalshi also had vague verbiage that “other sources on OMB may count” They do this all the time with mention contracts. Make the rules so ambiguous only insiders and employers benefit. Also their weather contracts are a complete joke. There are bots tied into the weather.gov api that are able to pull 1 min reports and get data early. Data that’s meant to be for NWS employees only. Does Kalshi care? Nope. Done with this garbage site and their insider BS that screws 99 percent of users. Their contracts charge fees on both ends. When you buy and when you sell. This means for sports it’s not any cheaper than traditional books. submitted by /u/gamblersfalacy to r/Kalshi [link] [comments]

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