Tesla Stock

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... good example. Yeah, but Tesla is at least profitable. Stock valuation is completely insane...

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Tesla’s latest earnings are a good example of how markets are reacting less to numbers and more to direction. On paper, the results were strong. Profit was up 136% YoY and earnings came in above expectations at $0.41 per share. In most cases, that would be enough to support the stock. But the reaction was muted, and that mostly comes down to expectations. Revenue came in slightly below forecasts, and at Tesla’s scale, even a small miss can shift sentiment. At the same time, the bigger story isn’t really the quarter, it’s where Tesla is heading. The company is planning to increase capex to around $25B, which signals a much stronger push into AI, robotics, and autonomous systems. That shift is important, because it moves Tesla beyond just being an EV company and into something broader, but it also makes it harder for investors to clearly define what it is today. That in between positioning creates uncertainty. The market isn’t just looking at current performance, it’s trying to understand how today’s spending will translate into future returns, and that link isn’t fully clear yet. You can see that hesitation in the stock, which is down about 14% this year despite the strong profit growth. submitted by /u/ChartNavigator to r/investing [link] [comments]

Tesla reported first-quarter earnings on Wednesday that beat analysts’ estimates even as revenue came in weaker than expected. Here’s how the company did, compared with estimates from analysts polled by LSEG: Earnings per share: 41 cents adjusted vs. 37 cents expected Revenue: $22.39 billion vs. $22.64 billion expected Tesla’s stock has underperformed all of its megacap peers so far this year, dropping 14% as of Wednesday’s close. The company’s core automotive business continues to struggle against competition from competitors across the globe like BYD in China. Revenue increased 16% in the quarter from $19.3 billion a year earlier. Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/22/tesla-tsla-q1-2026-earnings-report.html submitted by /u/Puginator to r/stocks [link] [comments]

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Disclosure: I currently hold a small position in Tesla. I’ve been watching Tesla pretty closely lately, and I’m honestly a bit conflicted on what’s actually driving the stock at this point On one side, you’ve got the long-term story autonomy, AI, energy, etc. On the other side, a lot of the recent moves feel more tied to expectations and sentiment than anything concrete in the near term I’m not saying that’s good or bad, just trying to figure out how to think about it. Feels like Tesla is one of those names where the narrative can shift pretty quickly, and that makes it tricky to position around For those following it closely what do you think is actually driving the stock more right now? Is it still mostly long-term vision, or more short-term sentiment? submitted by /u/Logical-Law1815 to r/stocks [link] [comments]

Today I watched a podcast where the guest was Cathie Wood from ARK. In the middle of the interview, she said that Tesla is going to be a $10 trillion company. I’ve seen and heard this claim from Elon Musk and his fans before, but from a “professional” investor? That honestly shocked me. I came to the conclusion that Tesla is the perfect example of how the market can be irrational. I decided to look at the basic numbers of the car manufacturing industry. Top 3 car manufacturers by EBITDA: Toyota (2025): $46.0B Volkswagen (2025): $52.0B Hyundai-Kia (2025): $19.0B Combined EBITDA: $117.0B Combined market cap: ~$515B Tesla (2025): EBITDA: $10.0B Market cap: $1.1 trillion (up 20% in 2026) For comparison; Berkshire Hathaway (2025): EBITDA: $150.0B Market cap = $ 1 T PS: Tesla is a car manufacturing company. Only when they make more than 10% its revenue from robots will I consider calling it something else. Make it make sense. Edit: I just found out that Cathie Wood apparently lets God guide her on which stocks to pick. That says a lot. submitted by /u/Same-Copy-9513 to r/stocks [link] [comments]

ok so ive been looking at tesla numbers for a while now and i keep seeing the same bullshit narrative that this is still a "growth stock" priced for disruption. lets talk about why that makes no sense at current levels. first, the DCF. if you actually sit down and model this thing out with any reasonable assumptions, the stock doesnt make sense. right now tesla trades at something like 80-90x forward earnings. to justify that multiple you need to assume sustained revenue growth of like 25-30% per year for the next 10 years AND margin expansion AND robotaxi/FSD becoming a meaningful revenue stream. thats not investing, thats theology. a basic DCF with 15% terminal growth and a 10% discount rate still spits out a fair value somewhere in the $180-210 range. the market is pricing in scenarios that require everything to go right simultaneously. revenue side - 2024 was actually bad. deliveries came in around 1.79 million, first annual decline in company history. automotive revenue is under pressure, price cuts destroyed margins, and energy generation picked up some slack but its not the core thesis wall street sold people on. you cant grow into a $600B+ enterprise value off energy storage and solar. the auto business has to carry the weight and right now its stumbling. speaking of enterprise value, this is where it gets almost comical. EV/EBITDA is somewhere north of 50x. legacy automakers trade at 3-6x. yes tesla is "different" but at what point does the premium disconnect from reality. ford and gm are not going to zero, they have EVs too now, they have manufacturing scale, dealer networks, fleet relationships. teslas competitive moat is narrowing every single quarter. the 1999-2001 comparison is something i keep coming back to. everyone said cisco was different. everyone said pets.com had first mover advantage. the companies with genuinely revolutionary tech (amazon, google) survived but got cut 80-90% before recovering. the ones that were priced for a future that arrived slower than expected got destroyed and never came back. tesla is not amazon circa 1999. amazons core business model worked at small scale and got better with scale. teslas core business is selling cars at thinner margins every year. buffett has never touched this stock and hes been fairly explicit about why. doesnt like the competitive dynamics, doesnt see a durable moat the way he defines it. he passed on it at every price point. people like to say "well buffett missed amazon" as if that makes tesla the same thing. buffett also missed a lot of frauds and avoided them too. his absence here is not nothing. balance sheet is actually fine, cash position is decent, not a credit risk. but that almost makes it worse because the bull case has to come entirely from future earnings expansion that isnt showing up yet. net income margins have compressed. capex is high. FCF yield at current prices is under 2%. you're essentially lending this company money for 2% while taking on the risk that robotaxi regulation, competition, elon distraction, and macro all resolve perfectly. my PT is $190 and i think thats generous. if multiples compress to 40x forward (still a massive premium to anything else in auto) and earnings estimates come down another 10-15% from current levels, you get there pretty quick. catalyst would be another weak delivery quarter, or just a broader multiple compression event in high-PE names. not short because the borrow cost is annoying and elon can tweet something and gap it up 15% on nothing. but i wouldnt be long here either. edit: yes i know about optimus. no i dont think a robot thats currently folding shirts in a factory is worth $200B in incremental EV right now. come back to me when theres a customer and a unit economics model. submitted by /u/spyapple to r/stocks [link] [comments]